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1 September 2026

PAOK vs OFI Crete Prediction: Greek Super League Model Probabilities

Model probabilities for PAOK vs OFI Crete in the Greek Super League, covering the match result, goals, and both teams to score.

PAOK vs OFI Crete Prediction: Greek Super League Model Probabilities

PAOK host OFI Crete in the Greek Super League, and the model has this down as one of the most one-sided matchups on the card.

Match result

The model gives PAOK an 89.6% chance of winning at home, with a draw at 3.8% and an OFI Crete win at 1.6%. The model's correct-score pick is 4-0, in line with PAOK's scoring form this season. Correct-score calls like this one come from our correct-score prediction software, updated daily across correct score, goals and BTTS markets.

Goals

PAOK are averaging 4.71 goals scored per game and have yet to concede in this sample. OFI Crete, by contrast, are averaging just 0.71 goals scored per game away from home and have shipped 14.

On the model's team-goals markets, PAOK are given a 99.1% chance of scoring and a 94.8% chance of scoring twice or more. OFI Crete are rated at 56.2% to score, dropping to 16.1% for two or more. Big scoring gaps like this one are exactly what our goals-market software is built to track across over/under, BTTS and half-time goals.

Both teams to score

Given PAOK's near-certain scoring and OFI Crete's weaker away form, the model puts both teams to score (BTTS) at 45.2%, with BTTS No favoured at 54.8%.

The model's read

The model leans heavily toward a comfortable PAOK win with goals, and rates BTTS as the less likely outcome given how one-sided the goals form is between the two sides. As always, these are probabilities from a statistical model, not certainties, and every match carries its own risk.

If you want to see how calls like this have actually played out, our track record page publishes every graded prediction, wins and losses included. For a plainer look at how the model itself works, see how football prediction software works.


Predictions are model-generated probabilities based on statistical analysis of team form and historical data. They are not guarantees and should not be treated as certainties. 18+. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, free, confidential help is available at begambleaware.org.

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